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NOAA's Kp-forecast for Dec 8 - Dec 10
This forecast was updated Dec 8 2022 at . All times are local time in Finland.
NOAA's Kp-forecast for Dec 8 - Dec 10
| <
| 2 | 3 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 2 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2.3 | 3 | 3 | > | ||||||||
| 02-05 | 05-08 | 08-11 | 11-14 | 14-17 | 17-20 | 20-23 | 23-02 | 02-05 | 05-08 | 08-11 | 11-14 | 14-17 | 17-20 | 20-23 | 23-02 | 02-05 | 05-08 | 08-11 | 11-14 | 14-17 | 17-20 | 20-23 | 23-02 | ||
| Dec 8 | Dec 9 | Dec 10 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
The current surface of the sun in different wavelengths
Courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.
show previous rotation(s)
Perustelut ennusteille
| Aihe | Perustelu (päivitetty viimeksi 8.12.2022 kello 14:30) |
|---|---|
| Auringon aktiivisuus | Solar activity is expected to be low through 10 Dec. There continues to be a chance for M-class flares and radio blackouts up to the R2 (Moderate) level. There also remains a slight chance for X-class flares capable of producing R3 (Strong) radio blackouts. |
| Aurinkotuuli | CH HSS effects are anticipated to last through 09 Dec, before waning on 10 Dec. |
| Geomagneettinen kenttä | Isolated periods of G1 (Minor) storm levels are likely to be observed on 08 Dec with HSS conditions underway. Mostly unsettled to active levels are expected 09 Dec as the solar wind environment begins to recover. Quiet to unsettled conditions are forecast on 10 Dec with a gradual return to background conditions. |
Roihupurkaukset eli flaret
Alla olevassa taulukossa näkyy viimeisten 3 vuorokauden aikana auringossa havaitut roihupurkaukset. Ajat ovat Suomen aikoja.
| päivä | alkoi | maksimi | loppui | luokka | alue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.12. | 22:52 | 23:09 | 23:35 | C1.4 | 3153 |
| 8.12. | 09:36 | 09:41 | 09:49 | B8.9 | ? |
| 8.12. | 07:54 | 08:03 | 08:12 | C1.3 | 3157 |
| 8.12. | 07:30 | 07:37 | 07:44 | B7.6 | ? |
| 8.12. | 01:08 | 01:15 | 01:27 | C1.0 | 3153 |
| 7.12. | 21:01 | 21:04 | 21:08 | C2.6 | ? |
| 7.12. | 19:46 | 19:59 | 20:04 | C1.3 | ? |
| 7.12. | 18:23 | 18:35 | 18:47 | C1.4 | ? |
| 7.12. | 17:59 | 18:04 | 18:13 | B9.3 | ? |
| 7.12. | 17:16 | 17:23 | 17:29 | C1.1 | ? |
| 7.12. | 14:57 | 15:04 | 15:16 | C5.9 | 3157 |
| 7.12. | 13:57 | 14:07 | 14:13 | C1.2 | 3157 |
| 7.12. | 13:00 | 13:11 | 13:24 | C1.2 | 3157 |
| 7.12. | 01:54 | 01:59 | 02:05 | C1.0 | 3155 |
| 6.12. | 23:38 | 23:42 | 00:01 | C1.1 | 3157 |
| 6.12. | 20:03 | 20:10 | 20:15 | B8.5 | ? |
| 6.12. | 16:18 | 16:27 | 16:34 | B8.9 | ? |
| 5.12. | 22:56 | 22:57 | 23:05 | C1.6 mahdollinen CME | 3158 |
| 5.12. | 18:56 | 19:01 | 19:12 | C2.1 | 3158 |
| 5.12. | 17:50 | 17:59 | 18:07 | C1.5 | ? |
| 5.12. | 17:08 | 17:16 | 17:24 | C1.5 | 3153 |
| 5.12. | 12:38 | 12:47 | 12:53 | C1.4 | 3158 |
| 5.12. | 12:17 | 12:47 | 13:45 | C1.1 mahdollinen CME | 3153 |
| 5.12. | 11:10 | 11:49 | 12:14 | C1.0 mahdollinen CME | 3153 |
| 5.12. | 08:32 | 08:42 | 08:51 | C1.3 | 3153 |
| 5.12. | 07:18 | 07:30 | 07:40 | C2.7 | 3158 |
| 5.12. | 03:40 | 03:52 | 04:01 | C1.9 | 3156 |
| Probability of flares | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| C | M | X | |
| 20.4. | 99 % | 75 % | 20 % |
| 21.4. | 99 % | 75 % | 20 % |
| 22.4. | 99 % | 75 % | 20 % |
Sunspots
List of the sunspots and other active regions that were visible to the earth yesterday or today.
| Chance of flares | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region # | Location | Number of sunspots | Type | Area of the group | C-class | M-class | X-class | First observed |
| 3651 | N13 E12 | 1  | A | 10 | 5 % | 1 % | 1 % | 19:47 19.4.2024 |
| 3650 | S11 E05 | 11  | B | 120 | 20 % | 1 % | 1 % | 10:43 19.4.2024 |
| 3649 | N17 W35 | 4 | B | 20 | 10 % | 1 % | 1 % | 10:40 19.4.2024 |
| 3648 | N19 E11 | 1 | A | 10 | 5 % | 1 % | 1 % | 21:12 18.4.2024 |
| 3647 | S13 W15 | 10 | BD | 200 | 75 % | 35 % | 5 % | 21:08 18.4.2024 |
| 3646 | N35 E09 | 3 | B | 10 | 10 % | 1 % | 1 % | 10:39 17.4.2024 |
| 3645 | S08 W19 | 18 | B | 240 | 75 % | 30 % | 5 % | 10:39 17.4.2024 |
| 3644 | N12 E19 | 2 | B | 140 | 25 % | 5 % | 1 % | 23:16 16.4.2024 |
| 3643 | S13 W06 | 12 | B | 90 | 50 % | 10 % | 1 % | 10:57 15.4.2024 |
| 3642 | N18 W81 | ? | ? | ? | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 10:55 15.4.2024 |
| 3641 | N16 W59 | 1 | A | 30 | 5 % | 1 % | 1 % | 11:10 14.4.2024 |
| 3640 | N21 W26 | ? | ? | ? | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 11:09 14.4.2024 |
| 3639 | N29 W11 | 14 | BG | 240 | 65 % | 15 % | 5 % | 11:08 14.4.2024 |
| 3638 | S16 W21 | 12 | B | 80 | 40 % | 10 % | 1 % | 11:19 13.4.2024 |
| 3637 | S10 W30 | 6 | B | 30 | 15 % | 1 % | 1 % | 10:29 13.4.2024 |
| 3636 | S21 W51 | 3 | B | 20 | 20 % | 1 % | 1 % | 18:07 11.4.2024 |
| 3635 | N19 W88 | ? | ? | ? | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 19:00 10.4.2024 |
| 3634 | N28 W96 | ? | ? | ? | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 10:15 8.4.2024 |
| 3633 | S08 W0* | 3 | B | 80 | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 10:38 6.4.2024 |
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