NOAA's Kp-forecast for Aug 14 - Aug 16
This forecast was updated Aug 14 2026 at . All times are local time in Finland.
| <
| 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 3 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 4 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 3 | 3 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 3 | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.7 | |
| 03-06 | 06-09 | 09-12 | 12-15 | 15-18 | 18-21 | 21-00 | 00-03 | 03-06 | 06-09 | 09-12 | 12-15 | 15-18 | 18-21 | 21-00 | 00-03 | 03-06 | 06-09 | 09-12 | 12-15 | 15-18 | 18-21 | 21-00 | 00-03 | ||
| Aug 14 | Aug 15 | Aug 16 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
The current surface of the sun in different wavelengths
Courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.
show previous rotation(s)
Perustelut ennusteille
| Aihe | Perustelu (päivitetty viimeksi 14.8.2026 kello 15:30) |
|---|---|
| Auringon aktiivisuus | Isolated C-class flares, with a slight chance (15%) for R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) radio blackouts, are likely through 16 Aug. Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at moderate levels. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at background levels. . |
| Aurinkotuuli | Early on 14 Aug, enhancements are anticipated with the arrival of a corotating interaction region (CIR) ahead of a +CH HSS. Enhanced solar wind conditions are likely to then persist through 16 Aug under +CH HSS influences. |
| Geomagneettinen kenttä | On 14-15 Aug, unsettled to active levels are expected in response to +CH HSS influences with a slight chance for G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming or greater. 16 Aug is anticipated to return to mostly unsettled levels as CH HSS influences wane. |
Roihupurkaukset eli flaret
Alla olevassa taulukossa näkyy viimeisten 3 vuorokauden aikana auringossa havaitut roihupurkaukset. Ajat ovat Suomen aikoja.
| päivä | alkoi | maksimi | loppui | luokka | alue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.8. | 14:38 | 14:41 | 14:46 | C1.0 mahdollinen CME | 4506 |
| 14.8. | 12:46 | 12:53 | 12:56 | C1.5 | 4508 |
| 14.8. | 11:02 | 11:03 | 11:09 | mahdollinen CME | 4508 |
| 14.8. | 09:38 | 10:01 | 10:31 | C4.1 | 4503 |
| 14.8. | 08:42 | 08:52 | 09:03 | B9.2 | 4507 |
| 14.8. | 02:33 | 02:41 | 02:57 | B6.4 | 4507 |
| 14.8. | 02:04 | 02:11 | 02:18 | B5.1 | 4507 |
| 14.8. | 00:16 | 00:28 | 00:33 | B6.0 | 4508 |
| 13.8. | 21:24 | 21:35 | 21:51 | B9.2 | 4507 |
| 13.8. | 20:05 | 20:09 | 20:26 | B4.5 | 4507 |
| 13.8. | 13:52 | 13:59 | 14:01 | B5.1 | 4507 |
| 13.8. | 05:02 | 05:24 | 05:37 | B7.2 | ? |
| 13.8. | 04:45 | 04:50 | 05:02 | B4.3 | 4508 |
| 13.8. | 02:04 | 02:23 | 02:42 | B5.2 | 4503 |
| 13.8. | 01:37 | 01:51 | 01:59 | B5.2 | 4507 |
| 12.8. | 19:41 | 19:48 | 19:55 | B5.4 | 4506 |
| 12.8. | 10:28 | 10:33 | 10:37 | C1.7 | 4508 |
| 12.8. | 09:03 | 09:17 | 09:26 | B6.1 | ? |
| 12.8. | 04:48 | 04:54 | 05:02 | B5.3 | 4507 |
| 12.8. | 04:38 | 04:43 | 04:48 | B5.9 | 4507 |
| 12.8. | 04:13 | 04:21 | 04:28 | B7.7 | 4507 |
| 12.8. | 01:56 | 02:04 | 02:18 | C2.5 | 4507 |
| 12.8. | 01:03 | 01:12 | 01:18 | B4.4 | 4506 |
| 12.8. | 00:19 | 00:23 | 00:27 | B4.6 | 4507 |
| 11.8. | 22:59 | 23:10 | 23:22 | C1.3 | 4508 |
| 11.8. | 21:00 | 21:07 | 21:12 | C1.7 | 4507 |
| 11.8. | 20:20 | 20:28 | 20:41 | B4.9 | 4508 |
| 11.8. | 18:49 | 18:54 | 18:56 | B3.9 | 4507 |
| Probability of flares | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| C | M | X | |
| 14.8. | 60 % | 15 % | 1 % |
| 15.8. | 60 % | 15 % | 1 % |
| 16.8. | 60 % | 15 % | 1 % |
Sunspots
List of the sunspots and other active regions that were visible to the earth yesterday or today.
| Chance of flares | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region # | Location | Number of sunspots | Type | Area of the group | C-class | M-class | X-class | First observed |
| 4511 | S09 E53 | 1 | A | 10 | 5 % | 0 % | 0 % | 23:29 13.8.2026 |
| 4510 | N12 W29 | 3  | B | 10 | 10 % | 0 % | 0 % | 12:40 13.8.2026 |
| 4509 | N11 W75 | 5 | B | 50 | 35 % | 5 % | 0 % | 18:54 12.8.2026 |
| 4508 | N07 E27 | 3  | B | 80 | 10 % | 0 % | 0 % | 11:36 11.8.2026 |
| 4507 | N04 W00 | 17 | BG | 110 | 55 % | 10 % | 0 % | 11:34 11.8.2026 |
| 4506 | N11 W17 | 4 | B | 10 | 5 % | 0 % | 0 % | 10:58 10.8.2026 |
| 4504 | S19 W56 | ? | ? | ? | 0 % | 0 % | 0 % | 17:35 7.8.2026 |
| 4503 | S17 W67 | 3 | B | 30 | 35 % | 5 % | 0 % | 21:06 4.8.2026 |
WSA-Enlil models' forecast
