NOAA's Kp-forecast for Jun 22 - Jun 24
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3 3.3 4 2.7 2 2.3 2.7 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3 2
03-06 06-09 09-12 12-15 15-18 18-21 21-00 00-03 03-06 06-09 09-12 12-15 15-18 18-21 21-00 00-03 03-06 06-09 09-12 12-15 15-18 18-21 21-00 00-03
Jun 22 Jun 23 Jun 24
This forecast was updated Jun 22 2024 at . All times are local time in Finland.
The current surface of the sun in different wavelengths Courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.
show previous rotation(s)

Perustelut ennusteille

AihePerustelu (päivitetty viimeksi 22.6.2024 kello 15:30)
Auringon aktiivisuusM-class flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) are likely over 22-24 Jun, with a slight chance for X-class flares (R3 or greater).
AurinkotuuliNegative polarity CH HSS influences and mildly enhanced solar wind conditions are likely over 22-23 Jun. Nominal solar wind conditions are expected to prevail on 24 Jun.
Geomagneettinen kenttäGeomagnetic field activity is expected to be quiet and unsettled over 22-23 Jun, with periods of active conditions likely on 22 Jun, due to negative polarity CH HSS influences. Quiet conditions are expected on 24 Jun.

Roihupurkaukset eli flaret

Alla olevassa taulukossa näkyy viimeisten 3 vuorokauden aikana auringossa havaitut roihupurkaukset. Ajat ovat Suomen aikoja.

päiväalkoi maksimi loppui luokka alue
22.6. 15:3515:4015:45 C4.9 3712
22.6. 15:0815:1315:17 C5.9 3716
22.6. 14:0014:0614:10 M1.0 3720
22.6. 11:4311:5512:08 M2.8 3716
22.6. 09:2309:2909:33 C5.1 3713
22.6. 07:2207:3807:47 M1.2 ?
22.6. 03:1203:2503:30 C7.3 ?
22.6. 03:1203:2503:30 C7.3 3716
21.6. 22:1422:1822:29 C3.4 3720
21.6. 21:2321:2921:38 C5.0 3720
21.6. 18:5418:5719:01 C4.6 3713
21.6. 17:5317:5818:08 C4.6 3712
21.6. 17:0017:0817:14 C3.6 ?
21.6. 15:3515:4015:46 C4.2 3716
21.6. 14:0214:1014:16 C3.9 3713
21.6. 09:2709:3309:39 C5.1 3713
21.6. 07:5608:0708:42 C5.3 3712
21.6. 06:3607:3207:34 C4.3 3713
21.6. 05:2305:3205:39 C5.7 3713
21.6. 04:5605:0605:14 C4.3 ?
21.6. 02:0002:1602:20 M5.6 3719
21.6. 00:5501:0201:08 C4.3 3716
21.6. 00:1400:2000:25 C3.8 ?
21.6. 00:0100:0900:14 C3.8 3716
20.6. 22:2922:3822:45 C6.5 3719
20.6. 19:3119:4420:22 mahdollinen CME 3712
20.6. 18:5219:0819:18 C8.1 3719
20.6. 18:3018:3519:25 mahdollinen CME 3716
20.6. 18:0918:1818:22 M1.1 3719
20.6. 17:5918:0018:05 mahdollinen CME 3713
20.6. 15:2915:3615:47 C5.6 3713
20.6. 12:3412:3912:43 C7.1 3719
20.6. 00:5501:0501:10 C5.7 3712
19.6. 15:4816:0616:25 C4.5 mahdollinen CME 3713
19.6. 14:2214:2914:39 C3.3 3712
19.6. 12:4112:4212:45 mahdollinen CME 3713
19.6. 12:0312:1912:35 C5.9 3718
19.6. 10:2010:3210:34 mahdollinen CME 3711
19.6. 09:2409:2609:27 mahdollinen CME 3711
19.6. 08:5609:0009:20 M1.1 mahdollinen CME 3712
19.6. 08:5609:0009:20 mahdollinen CME 3712
19.6. 07:5110:2311:32 mahdollinen CME 3713
19.6. 06:1606:2306:30 C3.9 3713
19.6. 04:4604:5405:04 C4.7 3713
19.6. 00:4300:4900:53 C8.0 3712
Probability of flares
CMX
22.6. 99 % 60 % 15 %
23.6. 99 % 60 % 15 %
24.6. 99 % 60 % 15 %

Sunspots

List of the sunspots and other active regions that were visible to the earth yesterday or today.

Chance of flares
Region #LocationNumber of sunspots TypeArea of the groupC-classM-classX-classFirst observed
3722S09 E45 2 B110 25 %5 %1 %21:27 21.6.2024
3721N27 E45 1 A90 10 %1 %1 %21:26 21.6.2024
3720S05 E34 12 B120 30 %5 %1 %20:39 19.6.2024
3719S13 E27 7 B150 30 %5 %1 %20:32 19.6.2024
3718N12 W27 ? ?? 0 %0 %0 %11:22 19.6.2024
3716N10 W73 14 BG500 60 %20 %5 %00:47 13.6.2024
3715N17 W91 ? ?? 0 %0 %0 %00:47 13.6.2024
3714N14 W0* ? ?? 0 %0 %0 %00:47 13.6.2024
3713S14 W67 24 BGD950 80 %30 %5 %11:57 12.6.2024
3712S26 W79 10 BG1000 80 %30 %5 %11:52 12.6.2024

WSA-Enlil-mallin ennuste