NOAA's Kp-forecast for Dec 9 - Dec 11
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2.3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2.3 3 2 2 2 2 2.3
02-05 05-08 08-11 11-14 14-17 17-20 20-23 23-02 02-05 05-08 08-11 11-14 14-17 17-20 20-23 23-02 02-05 05-08 08-11 11-14 14-17 17-20 20-23 23-02
Dec 9 Dec 10 Dec 11
This forecast was updated Dec 9 2022 at . All times are local time in Finland.
The current surface of the sun in different wavelengths Courtesy of NASA/SDO and the AIA, EVE, and HMI science teams.
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Perustelut ennusteille

AihePerustelu (päivitetty viimeksi 9.12.2022 kello 02:30)
Auringon aktiivisuusSolar activity is expected to be low through 11 Dec. There is a slight chance for M-class (R1-R2 - Minor-Moderate) flares.
AurinkotuuliSolar wind parameters are likely to slowly diminish over 09-10 Dec. Nominal conditions are anticipated for 11 Dec.
Geomagneettinen kenttäThe geomagnetic field is likely to be at quiet to unsettled levels over 09-10 Dec as solar wind conditions return to nominal levels. Quiet conditions are expected for 11 Dec.

Roihupurkaukset eli flaret

Alla olevassa taulukossa näkyy viimeisten 3 vuorokauden aikana auringossa havaitut roihupurkaukset. Ajat ovat Suomen aikoja.

päiväalkoi maksimi loppui luokka alue
9.12. 08:1408:1808:28 C1.2 ?
9.12. 08:1408:1808:28 C1.2 ?
8.12. 22:5223:0923:35 C1.4 3153
8.12. 09:3609:4109:49 B8.9 ?
8.12. 07:5408:0308:12 C1.3 3157
8.12. 07:3007:3707:44 B7.6 ?
8.12. 01:0801:1501:27 C1.0 3153
7.12. 21:0121:0421:08 C2.6 ?
7.12. 19:4619:5920:04 C1.3 ?
7.12. 18:2318:3518:47 C1.4 ?
7.12. 17:5918:0418:13 B9.3 ?
7.12. 17:1617:2317:29 C1.1 ?
7.12. 14:5715:0415:16 C5.9 3157
7.12. 13:5714:0714:13 C1.2 3157
7.12. 13:0013:1113:24 C1.2 3157
7.12. 01:5401:5902:05 C1.0 3155
6.12. 23:3823:4200:01 C1.1 3157
6.12. 20:0320:1020:15 B8.5 ?
6.12. 16:1816:2716:34 B8.9 ?
Probability of flares
CMX
9.12. 85 % 20 % 1 %
10.12. 85 % 20 % 1 %
11.12. 85 % 20 % 1 %

Sunspots

List of the sunspots and other active regions that were visible to the earth yesterday or today.

Chance of flares
Region #LocationNumber of sunspots TypeArea of the groupC-classM-classX-classFirst observed
3162 1 A60 5 %1 %1 %07:23 9.12.2022
3161N26 W15 6 B40 15 %1 %1 %11:54 8.12.2022
3160N21 E34 2 A80 10 %1 %1 %21:18 6.12.2022
3159N28 E23 1 A10 5 %1 %1 %21:17 6.12.2022
3158N24 W62 7 B30 10 %1 %1 %10:27 4.12.2022
3157N16 W07 20 B220 50 %10 %1 %22:53 3.12.2022
3156N25 W21 2 B80 10 %1 %1 %20:19 2.12.2022
3155N22 W93 1 A10 5 %1 %1 %20:19 1.12.2022
3154S38 W98 ? ?? 0 %0 %0 %11:10 1.12.2022
3153S17 W34 9 BG730 50 %10 %1 %11:06 1.12.2022

WSA-Enlil-mallin ennuste